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style=\"font-size: 14px;\">Prophet\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u539f\u7406\u975e\u5e38\u6709\u8da3\u3002\u5b83\u91c7\u7528\u4e86\u4e00\u79cd\u5206\u89e3\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5c06\u5176\u5206\u89e3\u4e3a\u4e09\u4e2a\u4e3b\u8981\u7ec4\u6210\u90e8\u5206\uff1a\u8d8b\u52bf\u3001\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u548c\u8282\u5047\u65e5\u6548\u5e94\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u5206\u89e3\u65b9\u6cd5\u53ef\u4ee5\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u6355\u6349\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u4e2d\u7684\u590d\u6742\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002\u9996\u5148\uff0cProphet\u6a21\u578b\u5bf9\u8d8b\u52bf\u8fdb\u884c\u5efa\u6a21\uff0c\u5b83\u5047\u8bbe\u8d8b\u52bf\u53ef\u4ee5\u7531\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u589e\u957f\u51fd\u6570\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5e76\u4f7f\u7528\u5206\u6bb5\u7ebf\u6027\u51fd\u6570\u6765\u6355\u6349\u957f\u671f\u8d8b\u52bf\u7684\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u77ed\u671f\u6ce2\u52a8\u5219\u901a\u8fc7\u7a97\u53e3\u5e73\u6ed1\u6280\u672f\u6765\u5e73\u6ed1\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002\u5176\u6b21\uff0cProphet\u6a21\u578b\u53ef\u4ee5\u81ea\u52a8\u68c0\u6d4b\u548c\u5efa\u6a21\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u7684\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u3002\u5b83\u80fd\u591f\u5904\u7406\u591a\u79cd\u7c7b\u578b\u7684\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u6bcf\u65e5\u3001\u6bcf\u5468\u548c\u6bcf\u5e74\u7684\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u3002\u4e3a\u4e86\u8fd1\u4f3c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0cProphet\u6a21\u578b\u91c7\u7528\u5085\u91cc\u53f6\u7ea7\u6570\u8fdb\u884c\u5efa\u6a21\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0cProphet\u6a21\u578b\u8fd8\u8003\u8651\u4e86\u8282\u5047\u65e5\u6548\u5e94\u5bf9\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u7528\u6237\u53ef\u4ee5\u6307\u5b9a\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u8282\u5047\u65e5\uff0c\u5e76\u6839\u636e\u5386\u53f2\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u7684\u8282\u5047\u65e5\u6a21\u5f0f\u81ea\u52a8\u5efa\u6a21\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6548\u5e94\u3002\u8fd9\u4f7f\u5f97\u6a21\u578b\u80fd\u591f\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u9884\u6d4b\u5728\u7279\u5b9a\u8282\u5047\u65e5\u671f\u95f4\u53ef\u80fd\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u3002Prophet\u7684\u516c\u5f0f\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u5176\u4e2d\uff0cg\uff08t\uff09\u8868\u793a\u589e\u957f\u51fd\u6570\uff0c\u7528\u6765\u8868\u793a\u7ebf\u6027\u6216\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u7684\u589e\u957f\u8d8b\u52bf\uff1bs\uff08t\uff09\u8868\u793a\u5468\u671f\u6027\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5468\u671f\u53ef\u4ee5\u662f\u5e74\u3001\u5b63\u5ea6\u3001\u6708\u3001\u6bcf\u5929\u7b49\uff1bh\uff08t\uff09\u8868\u793a\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u4e2d\u90a3\u4e9b\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u5177\u6709\u975e\u56fa\u5b9a\u5468\u671f\u7684\u8282\u5047\u65e5\u5bf9\u9884\u6d4b\u503c\u9020\u6210\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff1b\u4e3a\u566a\u58f0\u9879\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u968f\u673a\u7684\u65e0\u6cd5\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0e<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u5177\u4f53\u5730\uff0cg(t)\u5305\u542b\u9971\u548c\u589e\u957f\u6a21\u578b\u548c\u5206\u6bb5\u7ebf\u6027\u6a21\u578b\u4e24\u79cd\u53c2\u6570\u6a21\u578b:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\uff084-2\uff09<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\uff084-3\uff09<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u5468\u671f\u6a21\u578bs(t)\u4f9d\u636e\u5085\u91cc\u53f6\u7ea7\u6570\u5efa\u7acb:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u8282\u5047\u65e5\u6a21\u578b:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">Prophet R \u5305\u662f\u7528\u4e8e\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u5206\u6790\u548c\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u5f00\u6e90\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u7531 Facebook \u5f00\u53d1\u548c\u7ef4\u62a4\u3002\u5b83\u65e8\u5728\u4e3a\u7528\u6237\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e00\u4e2a\u7b80\u5355\u4e14\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u7528\u4e8e\u5904\u7406\u5177\u6709\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u3001\u8282\u5047\u65e5\u6548\u5e94\u548c\u8d8b\u52bf\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6570\u636e\u3002\u4e0b\u9762\u5c0f\u679c\u5c06\u901a\u8fc7\u4e00\u4e2a\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u793a\u4f8b\u5e26\u5927\u5bb6\u5b66\u4e60Prophet\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u5efa\u6a21\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u8f7d\u5165R\u5305\u5e76\u8bfb\u53d6\u6570\u636e\u3001\u521b\u5efa\u7ed3\u679c\u53d8\u91cf\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5305\u542bds\u548cy\u5217\u7684\u6570\u636e\u6846\uff0c\u5176\u4e2dds\u5217\u5305\u542b\u65e5\u671f\uff0cy\u5217\u5305\u542b\u6570\u503c\u3002ds\u5217\u662fYYYY-MM-DD\u683c\u5f0f\u7684\u65e5\u671f\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u4f7f\u7528\u4e86\u5173\u4e8ePeyton Manning\u7ef4\u57fa\u767e\u79d1\u9875\u9762\u7684\u6d4f\u89c8\u91cf\u7684\u5bf9\u6570\u6570\u636e\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\"><em style=\"font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;white-space: normal;color: rgb(178, 178, 178);\"><span style=\"font-size: 13px;text-decoration: underline;\">\u516c\u4f17\u53f7\u540e\u53f0\u56de\u590d\u201c111″,\u9886\u53d6\u4ee3\u7801\uff0c\u4ee3\u7801\u7f16\u53f7\uff1a231017<\/span><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<h1><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">Prophet\u6a21\u578b\u5efa\u6a21<\/span><\/h1>\n<section class=\"code-snippet__fix code-snippet__js\">\n<ul class=\"code-snippet__line-index code-snippet__js\">\n<li><\/li>\n<li><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<pre class=\"code-snippet__js\" data-lang=\"javascript\"><code><span class=\"code-snippet_outer\">library(prophet) <\/span><\/code><code><span class=\"code-snippet_outer\">df <- read.csv('https:\/\/raw.githubusercontent.com\/facebook\/prophet\/main\/examples\/example_wp_log_peyton_manning.csv')<\/span><\/code><\/pre>\n<\/section>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" data-ratio=\"0.9485981308411215\" data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"428\" style=\"height: auto !important;\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.biocloudservice.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/1_ibL9nxdIuKv9Ne6HeZEw6T9FlhOD4w.png?w=640\" onerror=\"this.src='https:\/\/mmbiz.qpic.cn\/sz_mmbiz_png\/zcicibWZessAykBnUQkD3oVCjXDv2szbiaZ7tD888awF60GpdqvmrqNmD0t1ibL9nxdIuKv9Ne6HeZEw6T9FlhOD4w\/640?wx_fmt=png'\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u8c03\u7528\u8be5prophet\u51fd\u6570\u6765\u62df\u5408\u6a21\u578b\u5e76\u8fdb\u884c\u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u53c2\u6570\u662f\u5386\u53f2\u6570\u636e\u6846\u3002\u5176\u4ed6\u53c2\u6570\u63a7\u5236 Prophet \u5982\u4f55\u62df\u5408\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f7f\u7528help(prophet)\u8fdb\u884c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7814\u7a76\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" data-ratio=\"0.40185185185185185\" data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"1080\" style=\"height: auto !important;\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.biocloudservice.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/2_iaLcgv9dXiasicVsAvRsZetd0WAMBw.png?w=640\" onerror=\"this.src='https:\/\/mmbiz.qpic.cn\/sz_mmbiz_png\/zcicibWZessAykBnUQkD3oVCjXDv2szbiaZ0UvkSqW4OMYSliaMuYl9vpnZSNm6iaLcgv9dXiasicVsAvRsZetd0WAMBw\/640?wx_fmt=png'\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u9884\u6d4b\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u6570\u636e\u5e27\u4e0a\u8fdb\u884c\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u6709\u4e00\u5217ds\u5305\u542b\u8981\u8fdb\u884c\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u65e5\u671f\u3002\u8be5make_future_dataframe\u51fd\u6570\u91c7\u7528\u6a21\u578b\u5bf9\u8c61\u548c\u591a\u4e2a\u5468\u671f\u8fdb\u884c\u9884\u6d4b\u5e76\u751f\u6210\u5408\u9002\u7684\u6570\u636e\u5e27\u3002\u9ed8\u8ba4\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u5b83\u8fd8\u5c06\u5305\u62ec\u5386\u53f2\u65e5\u671f\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bc4\u4f30\u6837\u672c\u5185\u7684\u62df\u5408\u5ea6\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<section class=\"code-snippet__fix code-snippet__js\">\n<ul class=\"code-snippet__line-index code-snippet__js\">\n<li><\/li>\n<li><\/li>\n<li><\/li>\n<li><\/li>\n<li><\/li>\n<li><\/li>\n<li><\/li>\n<li><\/li>\n<li><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<pre class=\"code-snippet__js\" data-lang=\"nginx\"><code><span class=\"code-snippet_outer\">#\u521b\u5efaProphet\u6a21\u578b <\/span><\/code><code><span class=\"code-snippet_outer\">m <- prophet(df) <\/span><\/code><code><span class=\"code-snippet_outer\">m <\/span><\/code><code><span class=\"code-snippet_outer\">#\u9884\u6d4b <\/span><\/code><code><span class=\"code-snippet_outer\">future <- make_future_dataframe(m, periods = 365) <\/span><\/code><code><span class=\"code-snippet_outer\">tail(future) <\/span><\/code><code><span class=\"code-snippet_outer\">forecast <- predict(m, future) <\/span><\/code><code><span class=\"code-snippet_outer\">tail(forecast[c('ds', 'yhat', 'yhat_lower', 'yhat_upper')]) <\/span><\/code><code><span class=\"code-snippet_outer\">prophet\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u5f88\u7b80\u5355\u3002\u4e0e R \u4e2d\u7684\u5927\u591a\u6570\u5efa\u6a21\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u4f7f\u7528\u901a\u7528predict\u51fd\u6570\u6765\u83b7\u5f97\u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u8be5forecast\u5bf9\u8c61\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6570\u636e\u6846\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u6709\u4e00\u5217yhat\u5305\u542b\u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u5b83\u8fd8\u6709\u7528\u4e8e\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u533a\u95f4\u548c\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u6210\u5206\u7684\u9644\u52a0\u5217\u3002<\/span><\/code><\/pre>\n<\/section>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" data-ratio=\"0.7395348837209302\" data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"430\" style=\"height: auto !important;\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.biocloudservice.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/3_ib9wD3UNDUuNRtgibTIuhrUnKibv5A.png?w=640\" onerror=\"this.src='https:\/\/mmbiz.qpic.cn\/sz_mmbiz_png\/zcicibWZessAykBnUQkD3oVCjXDv2szbiaZGNXZ4MTJVAf90ONgic5WTRBhQdrlib9wD3UNDUuNRtgibTIuhrUnKibv5A\/640?wx_fmt=png'\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" data-ratio=\"0.275\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.biocloudservice.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/4_baxGN19MvUbc2ic0h2VvhficJDhI3w.png?w=640\" onerror=\"this.src='https:\/\/mmbiz.qpic.cn\/sz_mmbiz_png\/zcicibWZessAykBnUQkD3oVCjXDv2szbiaZm3lFJV1Qe5PYF4NicKqb6CrjuNbbaxGN19MvUbc2ic0h2VvhficJDhI3w\/640?wx_fmt=png'\" data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"1080\" style=\"height: auto !important;\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" \/><\/p>\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section style=\"text-align: justify;font-size: 16px;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section style=\"text-align: left;justify-content: flex-start;display: flex;flex-flow: row;margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section style=\"display: inline-block;vertical-align: bottom;width: auto;align-self: flex-end;flex: 0 0 auto;border-style: solid;border-width: 0px 0px 7px;border-bottom-color: rgb(175, 225, 255);min-width: 5%;height: auto;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section style=\"text-align: justify;font-size: 20px;\" powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<p><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\">Prophet\u6a21\u578b\u7ed3\u679c\u5206\u6790\u4e0e\u53ef\u89c6\u5316<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section style=\"display: inline-block;vertical-align: bottom;width: auto;min-width: 5%;flex: 0 0 auto;height: auto;align-self: flex-end;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section style=\"transform: perspective(0px);transform-style: flat;\" powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section style=\"transform: translate3d(5px, 0px, 0px) rotateX(180deg);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section style=\"display: inline-block;width: 6px;height: 6px;vertical-align: top;overflow: hidden;border-radius: 460px;background-color: rgb(244, 171, 189);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section style=\"text-align: justify;\" powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;\"><\/span><br \/><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">Facebook\u5bf9Prophet\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u53ef\u89c6\u5316\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u65e2\u5bb9\u6613\u53c8\u7f8e\u89c2\u7684\u5f00\u53d1\u3002\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f7f\u7528\u901a\u7528plot\u51fd\u6570\u901a\u8fc7\u4f20\u5165\u6a21\u578b\u548c\u9884\u6d4b\u6570\u636e\u6846\u6765\u7ed8\u5236\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u8be5\u51fd\u6570\u4f1a\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u7ed8\u5236\u4e00\u4e2a\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u56fe\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u771f\u5b9e\u503c\u548c\u62df\u5408\u503c\uff0c\u5e76\u7ed8\u5236\u4e0a\u9884\u6d4b\u533a\u95f4\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<section class=\"code-snippet__fix code-snippet__js\">\n<ul class=\"code-snippet__line-index code-snippet__js\">\n<li><\/li>\n<li><\/li>\n<li><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<pre class=\"code-snippet__js\" data-lang=\"apache\"><code><span class=\"code-snippet_outer\">#\u53ef\u89c6\u5316 <\/span><\/code><code><span class=\"code-snippet_outer\">plot(m, forecast) <\/span><\/code><code><span class=\"code-snippet_outer\">prophet_plot_components(m, forecast)<\/span><\/code><\/pre>\n<\/section>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" data-croporisrc=\"\u56fe\u7247\/\u751f\u4fe1\u679c_2023-10-30_\u624b\u628a\u624b\u6559\u4f1a\u4f60\u7b80\u5355\u6613\u5b66\u7684Prophet\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6a21\u578b\/5_yXibIK4V7nEQBoERPdhtMPBAUF3Ijg.png\" onerror=\"this.src='https:\/\/mmbiz.qpic.cn\/sz_mmbiz_png\/zcicibWZessAykBnUQkD3oVCjXDv2szbiaZTLwbicatxpl90IPdHn5U8xowhwyXibIK4V7nEQBoERPdhtMPBAUF3Ijg\/0?wx_fmt=png'\" data-cropx1=\"0\" data-cropx2=\"1932\" data-cropy1=\"343.0903791835829\" data-cropy2=\"1565.5580409347958\" data-ratio=\"0.6324074074074074\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.biocloudservice.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/6_Tkp4EJicibe2rDWjicFbuBGj8Sxpyg.jpg?w=640\" onerror=\"this.src='https:\/\/mmbiz.qpic.cn\/sz_mmbiz_jpg\/zcicibWZessAykBnUQkD3oVCjXDv2szbiaZiaRDe2IPVF14e2yiasKQRDogNYGSHTkp4EJicibe2rDWjicFbuBGj8Sxpyg\/640?wx_fmt=jpeg'\" data-type=\"jpeg\" data-w=\"1080\" style=\"width: 578px;height: auto !important;\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u4ece\u4e0a\u56fe\u4e2d\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u51faProphet\u6a21\u578b\u5f88\u597d\u5730\u62df\u5408\u4e86\u6574\u4e2a\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\uff0c\u57fa\u672c\u6355\u83b7\u4e86\u6574\u4e2a\u5e8f\u5217\u7684\u89c4\u5f8b\uff0c\u5e76\u505a\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u5b9a\u5730\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e86\u66f4\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7814\u7a76\u8be5\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u7684\u89c4\u5f8b\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f7f\u7528\u8be5prophet_plot_components\u51fd\u6570\u67e5\u770b\u7ec6\u5206\u4e3a\u8d8b\u52bf\u3001\u6bcf\u5468\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u548c\u6bcf\u5e74\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" data-ratio=\"0.9962962962962963\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.biocloudservice.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/7_aNicmdrzIyk7lj5iaF8ibCh3oGibcA.png?w=640\" onerror=\"this.src='https:\/\/mmbiz.qpic.cn\/sz_mmbiz_png\/zcicibWZessAykBnUQkD3oVCjXDv2szbiaZg74HP4ib90LYR9VMRibIyg8M8gBweZiaNicmdrzIyk7lj5iaF8ibCh3oGibcA\/640?wx_fmt=png'\" data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"1080\" style=\"height: auto !important;\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" \/><\/p>\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section data-mpa-template=\"t\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section style=\"text-align: justify;font-size: 16px;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section style=\"text-align: left;justify-content: flex-start;display: flex;flex-flow: row;margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section style=\"display: inline-block;vertical-align: bottom;width: auto;align-self: flex-end;flex: 0 0 auto;border-style: solid;border-width: 0px 0px 7px;border-bottom-color: rgb(175, 225, 255);min-width: 5%;height: auto;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section style=\"text-align: justify;font-size: 20px;\" powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<p><strong mpa-from-tpl=\"t\" mpa-is-content=\"t\">Prophet\u6a21\u578b\u53c2\u6570\u8c03\u6574<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<section style=\"display: inline-block;vertical-align: bottom;width: auto;min-width: 5%;flex: 0 0 auto;height: auto;align-self: flex-end;\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section style=\"transform: perspective(0px);transform-style: flat;\" powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section style=\"transform: translate3d(5px, 0px, 0px) rotateX(180deg);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section style=\"display: inline-block;width: 6px;height: 6px;vertical-align: top;overflow: hidden;border-radius: 460px;background-color: rgb(244, 171, 189);\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<section style=\"text-align: justify;\" powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" mpa-from-tpl=\"t\">\n<p><br \/><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u6709\u591a\u79cd\u53ef\u4f9bProphet\u6a21\u578b\u8c03\u6574\u7684\u53c2\u6570\uff0cProphet\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u53c2\u6570\u6709\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<ol class=\"list-paddingleft-1\">\n<li style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\"><strong>growth<\/strong>\uff08\u8d8b\u52bf\u7684\u5f62\u5f0f\uff09\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<ul class=\"list-paddingleft-1\">\n<li style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u53ef\u9009\u503c\uff1a”linear” \u6216 “sigmoid”\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u4f5c\u7528\uff1a\u7528\u4e8e\u6307\u5b9a\u8d8b\u52bf\u7684\u5f62\u5f0f\u3002”linear” \u8868\u793a\u7ebf\u6027\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c”sigmoid” \u8868\u793aS\u5f62\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<li style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\"><strong>changepoint_num<\/strong>\uff08\u8d8b\u52bf\u53d8\u5316\u70b9\u7684\u6570\u91cf\uff09\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<ul class=\"list-paddingleft-1\">\n<li style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u4f5c\u7528\uff1a\u6307\u5b9a\u8d8b\u52bf\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\u5141\u8bb8\u7684\u6700\u5927\u8d8b\u52bf\u53d8\u5316\u70b9\u6570\u91cf\u3002\u589e\u52a0\u6b64\u503c\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f7f\u6a21\u578b\u66f4\u7075\u6d3b\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u8fc7\u62df\u5408\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<li style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\"><strong>changepoint_range<\/strong>\uff08\u53d8\u5316\u70b9\u8ddd\u79bb\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u672b\u5c3e\u7684\u8ddd\u79bb\uff09\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<ul class=\"list-paddingleft-1\">\n<li style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u4f5c\u7528\uff1a\u6307\u5b9a\u53d8\u5316\u70b9\u8ddd\u79bb\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u672b\u5c3e\u7684\u8ddd\u79bb\u3002\u503c\u8d8a\u5927\uff0c\u8d8b\u52bf\u8d8a\u7075\u6d3b\uff0c\u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\u9002\u5e94\u6570\u636e\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<li style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u53c2\u6570\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<ul class=\"list-paddingleft-1\">\n<li style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u6bcf\u5e74\u5b63\u8282\u6027\uff1a<strong>seasonality_yearly<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u6bcf\u5468\u5b63\u8282\u6027\uff1a<strong>seasonality_weekly<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u6bcf\u65e5\u5b63\u8282\u6027\uff1a<strong>seasonality_daily<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u4f5c\u7528\uff1a\u7528\u4e8e\u6307\u5b9a\u4e0d\u540c\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u6a21\u5f0f\u7684\u5b58\u5728\u3002\u6839\u636e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u7279\u6027\u9009\u62e9\u662f\u5426\u542f\u7528\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<li style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\"><strong>season<\/strong>\uff08\u5b63\u8282\u672f\u8bed\u7684\u5f62\u5f0f\uff09\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<ul class=\"list-paddingleft-1\">\n<li style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u53ef\u9009\u503c\uff1a”additive” \u6216 “multiplicative”\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u4f5c\u7528\uff1a\u7528\u4e8e\u6307\u5b9a\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u6a21\u5f0f\u7684\u5f62\u5f0f\u3002”additive” \u8868\u793a\u52a0\u6cd5\u5b63\u8282\u6027\uff0c”multiplicative” \u8868\u793a\u4e58\u6cd5\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<li style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u4f18\u5148\u89c4\u6a21\u53c2\u6570\uff08<strong>prior_scale<\/strong>\uff09\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<ul class=\"list-paddingleft-1\">\n<li style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\"><strong>prior_scale_changepoints<\/strong>\uff1a\u63a7\u5236\u8d8b\u52bf\u53d8\u5316\u70b9\u7684\u7075\u6d3b\u6027\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\"><strong>prior_scale_seasonality<\/strong>\uff1a\u63a7\u5236\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u6a21\u5f0f\u7684\u7075\u6d3b\u6027\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\"><strong>prior_scale_holidays<\/strong>\uff1a\u63a7\u5236\u5047\u671f\u6548\u5e94\u7684\u7075\u6d3b\u6027\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u4f5c\u7528\uff1a\u901a\u8fc7\u8c03\u6574\u8fd9\u4e9b\u53c2\u6570\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u63a7\u5236\u6a21\u578b\u5bf9\u4e8e\u8d8b\u52bf\u3001\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u548c\u5047\u671f\u7684\u62df\u5408\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002\u8f83\u5927\u7684\u503c\u8868\u793a\u66f4\u7075\u6d3b\u7684\u62df\u5408\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/ol>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u5728\u4e0b\u9762\u7684\u4ee3\u7801\u4e2d\uff0c\u7ed9\u51fa\u4e86Prophet\u6a21\u578b\u53ef\u4f9b\u8c03\u6574\u7684\u53c2\u6570\u8bbe\u7f6e\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<section class=\"code-snippet__fix code-snippet__js\">\n<ul class=\"code-snippet__line-index code-snippet__js\">\n<li><\/li>\n<li><\/li>\n<li><\/li>\n<li><\/li>\n<li><\/li>\n<li><\/li>\n<li><\/li>\n<li><\/li>\n<li><\/li>\n<li><\/li>\n<li><\/li>\n<li><\/li>\n<li><\/li>\n<li><\/li>\n<li><\/li>\n<li><\/li>\n<li><\/li>\n<li><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<pre class=\"code-snippet__js\" data-lang=\"sql\"><code><span class=\"code-snippet_outer\">growth(values = c(\"linear\", \"logistic\")) <\/span><\/code><code><span class=\"code-snippet_outer\"><br \/><\/span><\/code><code><span class=\"code-snippet_outer\">changepoint_num(range = c(0L, 50L), trans = NULL) <\/span><\/code><code><span class=\"code-snippet_outer\"><br \/><\/span><\/code><code><span class=\"code-snippet_outer\">changepoint_range(range = c(0.6, 0.9), trans = NULL) <\/span><\/code><code><span class=\"code-snippet_outer\"><br \/><\/span><\/code><code><span class=\"code-snippet_outer\">seasonality_yearly(values = c(TRUE, FALSE)) <\/span><\/code><code><span class=\"code-snippet_outer\"><br \/><\/span><\/code><code><span class=\"code-snippet_outer\">seasonality_weekly(values = c(TRUE, FALSE)) <\/span><\/code><code><span class=\"code-snippet_outer\"><br \/><\/span><\/code><code><span class=\"code-snippet_outer\">seasonality_daily(values = c(TRUE, FALSE)) <\/span><\/code><code><span class=\"code-snippet_outer\"><br \/><\/span><\/code><code><span class=\"code-snippet_outer\">prior_scale_changepoints(range = c(-3, 2), trans = log10_trans()) <\/span><\/code><code><span class=\"code-snippet_outer\"><br \/><\/span><\/code><code><span class=\"code-snippet_outer\">prior_scale_seasonality(range = c(-3, 2), trans = log10_trans()) <\/span><\/code><code><span class=\"code-snippet_outer\"><br \/><\/span><\/code><code><span class=\"code-snippet_outer\">prior_scale_holidays(range = c(-3, 2), trans = log10_trans()) <\/span><\/code><code><span class=\"code-snippet_outer\">\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u8f93\u5165\u5bf9\u5e94\u7684\u53c2\u6570\u8c03\u6574\u51fd\u6570\u6765\u60f3\u770b\u53ef\u4f9b\u8c03\u6574\u7684\u53c2\u6570\u9009\u9879\uff1a<\/span><\/code><\/pre>\n<\/section>\n<ol class=\"list-paddingleft-1\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" data-ratio=\"0.712037037037037\" data-type=\"png\" data-w=\"1080\" style=\"height: auto !important;\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.biocloudservice.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/8_YuvxCtNKGjRiacVKiaRG2SsQHaYxBw.png?w=640\" onerror=\"this.src='https:\/\/mmbiz.qpic.cn\/sz_mmbiz_png\/zcicibWZessAykBnUQkD3oVCjXDv2szbiaZKBm36kVaXBqrlKQY0qKVHcs06YYuvxCtNKGjRiacVKiaRG2SsQHaYxBw\/640?wx_fmt=png'\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" \/><\/ol>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u5728\u8fdb\u884c\u53c2\u6570\u8c03\u6574\u65f6\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f7f\u7528\u4ea4\u53c9\u9a8c\u8bc1\u6216\u7f51\u683c\u641c\u7d22\u7b49\u6280\u5de7\u6765\u786e\u5b9a\u6700\u4f73\u53c2\u6570\u7ec4\u5408\u3002\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u9009\u62e9\u4e00\u7ec4\u521d\u59cb\u53c2\u6570\u503c\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u4f7f\u7528\u5386\u53f2\u6570\u636e\u62df\u5408\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5e76\u4f7f\u7528\u9a8c\u8bc1\u96c6\u6765\u8bc4\u4f30\u6a21\u578b\u6027\u80fd\u3002\u6839\u636e\u9a8c\u8bc1\u96c6\u7684\u6027\u80fd\uff0c\u9010\u6b65\u8c03\u6574\u53c2\u6570\u503c\uff0c\u76f4\u5230\u627e\u5230\u6700\u4f73\u7684\u53c2\u6570\u7ec4\u5408\uff0c\u4ee5\u83b7\u5f97\u6700\u4f73\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u6027\u80fd\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">Prophet\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u642d\u5efa\u5230\u8fd9\u91cc\u5c31\u7ed3\u675f\u5566\uff0c\u662f\u4e0d\u662f\u975e\u5e38\u7b80\u5355\u5462\uff0c\u5176\u5b9eProphet\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6a21\u578b\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4ec5\u53ef\u4ee5\u5e94\u7528\u5728\u4e0e\u65f6\u95f4\u6709\u5173\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u662f\u542b\u6709\u4e00\u5b9a\u8d8b\u52bf\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u6e29\u5ea6\u3001\u57fa\u56e0\u5e8f\u5217\u7b49\uff0c\u90fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7Prophet\u6a21\u578b\u8fdb\u884c\u5efa\u6a21\uff0c\u5c0f\u4f19\u4f34\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u591a\u591a\u5c1d\u8bd5\uff0cFacebook\u5f00\u53d1\u7684Prophet\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u65e2\u7b80\u5355\u53c8\u9ad8\u6548\uff0c\u5728\u5f88\u591a\u4efb\u52a1\u7684\u5b66\u4e60\u4e0a\uff0c\u521d\u5b66\u8005\u751a\u81f3\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f97\u5230\u6bd4\u4e0d\u65ad\u8c03\u6574\u540e\u7684\u4f20\u7edf\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6a21\u578b\u66f4\u4e3a\u4f18\u79c0\u7684\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u975e\u5e38\u9002\u5408\u751f\u4fe1\u5c0f\u767d\u8fdb\u884c\u5b66\u4e60\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">\u76f8\u4fe1\u5927\u5bb6\u7ecf\u8fc7\u4eca\u5929\u7684\u5b66\u4e60\uff0c\u4e00\u5b9a\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u4eca\u540e\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u751f\u6d3b\u4e2d\u6709\u6240\u6536\u76ca\uff01\u90a3\u4e48\u5c0f\u679c\u8981\u8ddf\u5927\u5bb6\u8bf4\u518d\u89c1\u4e86\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u5173\u6ce8\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u5b98\u7f51\u4e5f\u4f1a\u6301\u7eed\u66f4\u65b0\u7684\u54e6\uff5e <\/span><\/p>\n<section powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;white-space: normal;text-align: left;\">\n<section style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\n<section powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" style=\"margin: 10px;justify-content: flex-start;display: flex;flex-flow: row;\">\n<section style=\"padding-right: 10px;padding-left: 10px;display: inline-block;width: 558px;vertical-align: top;border-style: dashed;border-width: 1px;border-color: rgb(62, 62, 62);align-self: flex-start;flex: 0 0 auto;\">\n<section powered-by=\"xiumi.us\" style=\"margin-top: 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